Demographic Forecast

Projected Population

By 2040, the total population will reach 1,240,496 individuals. Over the 2016-2050 period, the county will gain more than 346,092 new residents – an annual average increase of 1.8 percent.


Net Migration

Net migration will increase from current levels. Over the forecast period, an average of 2,800 net migrants are expected to enter the county each year. Between 2010 and 2015, the population of Kern County grew by 5.0 percent, representing an annual average increase of 1.0 percent. All of this growth was due to the natural increase (new births), as net migration was negative.

Source: California Department of Transportation, Long-Term Socio-Economic Forecasts by County